Valid-Divorce
0x118198f684bd3a6c2f4b40d97fd308141be29e90
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$35.0K
Total PnL
$-9.6K
Realised
$-695.25
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
15364 shares @ 66.8¢·now 80.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.3K
$2.1K
- NO
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10000 shares @ 62.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.0K
$-250.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
6000 shares @ 73.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.1K
$750.01
- NO
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.7K
$1.2K
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
2459 shares @ 97.6¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.4K
$29.60
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2000 shares @ 66.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.0K
$647.00
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
2081 shares @ 62.5¢·now 73.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$226.48
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
3042 shares @ 46.9¢·now 35.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.1K
$-348.19
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
1400 shares @ 78.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$861.00
$-231.00
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
1070 shares @ 42.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$679.45
$230.05
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.53Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.53Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.53Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$56.43Jun 11, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.72Jun 11, 21:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.53Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.53Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.53Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.53Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.53Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.53Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.53Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.54Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.54Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.41Jun 3, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$2.2KJun 2, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$155.26Jun 2, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.88Jun 2, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.66Jun 2, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.75Jun 2, 19:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $288.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.