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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires May 21, 2026

Will Mohamed Diomande record the most red cards in 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Probability

43¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-4.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$15.84

Probability (last 7 days)

-12.3pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 14:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:47
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 4pp over 24h

    Now 43¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 610h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 77.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 610.2h

    LOW
  • 13:47Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 610h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 13:47Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 4.9pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -16.9pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -12.6pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -7.4pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -10.3pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -5.2pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -6.3pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -9.6pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -3.3pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -14.5pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -13.0pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -13.7pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -15.4pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.8pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.1pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.1pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.2pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.1pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.3pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.6pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.2pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.1pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.1pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to the player who records the most red cards through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League competition. For the purpose of this market, both direct red cards, or red cards that result from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match will be considered in the final count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Europa League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Europa League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 21, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (77.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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