Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in April?
Probability
6¢
1h
+0.3pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$164.58
Liquidity
$2.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
-2.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 6¢; +0.3pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 107h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 5.5¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 106.8h
- 13:12SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 107h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.3pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.2pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 5¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 6¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 5¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 5¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 6¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 6¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.2pp
to 6¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.9pp
to 5¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.7pp
to 5¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 6¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
13- 3¢-1.8pp
Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?
Science · Vol $2.10
- 2¢-1.9pp
Will Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in April?
Entertainment · Vol $123.28
- 2¢+0.1pp
Will Don Toliver have a #1 hit in April?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 2¢-3.4pp
Will Alex Warren have a #1 hit in April?
Other · Vol $6.48
- 3¢-1.9pp
Will Bad Bunny have a #1 hit in April?
Other · Vol $150.03
- 1¢-0.4pp
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in April?
Other · Vol $6.66
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Kanye West have a #1 hit in April?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 2¢-2.3pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.0M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 59¢-1.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $721.0K
- 5¢-34.5pp
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $681.6K
- 86¢0.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $559.8K
- 43¢+7.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $496.7K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (5.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).