Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Probability
85¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$2.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
-2.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5985h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $2.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5984.6h
- 15:26SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5985h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 84¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 84¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 84¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 84¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 84¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 85¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 85¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding. If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).