Loading shell…
OtherExpires Jan 1, 2027

Will Pump.fun reach $0.0038 by December 31, 2026?

Probability

57¢

1h

+7.5pp

24h

-1.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$861.20

Probability (last 7 days)

+16.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:14
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 57¢; +7.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 6013h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 61.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 6012.8h

    LOW
  • 16:14Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 6013h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 15:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -10.5pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 60¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 19:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 58¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 59¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 16.5pp

    to 58¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Pump.fun (PUMP/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 17:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the PUMP/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/PUMP_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance PUMP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Jan 1, 2027
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
  • Wide spread (61.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

4 wallets