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OtherExpires May 1, 2026

Will Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) hit (LOW) $570 in April?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-47.4pp

24h Vol

$60.00

Liquidity

$371.52

Probability (last 7 days)

-33.4pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:15
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Down 47pp over 24h

    Now 3¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 5.8¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Set an alert if probability recovers above 8¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 134.7h

    LOW
  • 13:15Price

    Probability down -43.4pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -43.4pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -46.4pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -46.4pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -46.4pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -46.5pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -46.5pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -46.0pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -46.0pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -46.0pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability down -46.0pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -45.5pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -45.5pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -45.5pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.QQQ%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.QQQ%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.QQQ%2FUSD
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (5.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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