Courteous-Crawdad
0x9394831b94fce3ddd98e58d9ec2ae9844d9f37da
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$3.7K
Total PnL
$505.25
Realised
$166.23
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
4432 shares @ 44.9¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.7K
$714.11
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
838 shares @ 59.6¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$620.32
$120.32
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 65.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$120.75
$23.25
- NO
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?
225 shares @ 80.7¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$111.48
$-70.15
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
111 shares @ 45.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$55.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.29
$9.29
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
42 shares @ 48.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.12
$-1.88
- YES
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.25
$-3.75
- YES
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.25
$1.25
- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$300.00Jun 13, 17:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$301.67Jun 12, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$243.60Jun 12, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$242.63Jun 12, 11:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$200.00Jun 11, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another outcome occur in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$93.15Jun 11, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$107.39Jun 11, 17:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$130.00Jun 1, 19:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $98.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 06:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.