Will Richard Tabor be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
Probability
44¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$134.58
Liquidity
$27.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 899h with open resolution ambiguity.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 898.6h
- 13:26SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 899h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 47¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 46¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 43¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate C be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate M be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate N be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 2¢0.0pp
Will Justin Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Natalie Rivera be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 45¢-0.5pp
Will Alex Zdan be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
Politics · Vol $72.13
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Vinnie Brand be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 2¢0.0pp
Will Robert Lebovics be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-0.1pp
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $3.5M
- 3¢-1.1pp
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $635.9K
- 0¢-0.2pp
Trump out as President by April 30?
Politics · Vol $506.0K
- 5¢0.0pp
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $458.7K
- 0¢+0.2pp
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $372.7K
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $346.2K
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).