Outlandish-Complicity
0x0781872fe78deb6ad8147e482952b4a5461ec4ff
Quality score
78/100
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-13.7K
Realised
$-147.09
Win rate
57%
74 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
400 shares @ 95.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$398.40
$14.98
- YES
Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?
400 shares @ 91.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$370.00
$3.63
- YES
Will Jon Bonck be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?
400 shares @ 90.7¢·now 92.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$368.03
$5.08
- NO
Will Katie Porter advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
400 shares @ 87.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$356.00
$8.08
- YES
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
400 shares @ 18.8¢·now 57.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$227.96
$152.77
- YES
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
400 shares @ 41.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$162.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
400 shares @ 51.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$134.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
400 shares @ 25.9¢·now 27.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$108.00
$4.16
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?
401 shares @ 7.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$64.16
$36.16
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?
400 shares @ 7.4¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$52.00
$22.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mai Vang advance from the CA-07 primary election?$4.3216m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?$16.5221m ago
- TRADEBUYWill CA Nacional Potosí win on 2026-04-25?$58.5236m ago
- TRADESELLWill Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$4.001h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$1.052h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$44.803h ago
- TRADESELLWill Lindy Ruff win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?$0.924h ago
- TRADESELLWill Lindy Ruff win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?$0.924h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$41.085h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$7.906h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.887h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.768h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40.028h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have exactly 8 songs in the Billboard top 10?$19.008h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.488h ago
- TRADESELLWill Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$48.958h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.929h ago
- TRADESELLWill Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?$8.609h ago
- TRADEBUYWill three people dissent the April Fed decision?$159.749h ago
- TRADEBUYWill three people dissent the April Fed decision?$9.809h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $48.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 21h ago
- Last active
- 16m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.