Outlandish-Complicity
0x0781872fe78deb6ad8147e482952b4a5461ec4ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-10.8K
Realised
$131.94
Win rate
55%
71 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
400 shares @ 94.9¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$388.00
$8.46
- NO
Australia vs. Türkiye: Neither team to score first?
400 shares @ 87.0¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$373.20
$25.20
- NO
Will Latonya Reeves be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?
400 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$360.00
$-3.83
- NO
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?
400 shares @ 78.9¢·now 86.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$346.00
$30.53
- NO
Will Jack Reed be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?
538 shares @ 2.4¢·now 4.4¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$23.65
$10.86
- YES
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
987 shares @ 0.4¢·now 1.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$13.82
$9.42
- YES
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open?
493 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.4¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$6.90
$-1.52
- YES
Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
402 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$5.83
$-2.16
- YES
Will Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
1242 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$4.35
$-8.94
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?
464 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$3.25
$-1.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Nationals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?$5.18Jun 13, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the No. 15 BMW M Team WRT win the 2026 24 Hours of Le Mans?$3.28Jun 13, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the No. 15 BMW M Team WRT win the 2026 24 Hours of Le Mans?$3.48Jun 13, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$14.06Jun 13, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Nationals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?$10.36Jun 13, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$91.25Jun 13, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$1.83Jun 13, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?$4.13Jun 13, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?$4.08Jun 13, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the World Cup?$26.92Jun 13, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?$0.50Jun 13, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?$66.94Jun 13, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?$13.26Jun 13, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?$1.00Jun 13, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spike Lee attend Game 5 of the NBA Finals?$7.69Jun 13, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay?$19.02Jun 13, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay?$93.00Jun 13, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay?$189.50Jun 13, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?$2.45Jun 13, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$1.09Jun 13, 03:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $22.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 22:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 07:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 71 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.