Will Ro Khanna advance from the CA-17 primary?
Probability
91¢
1h
-2.6pp
24h
-3.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$4.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.7pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 903.1h
- 08:53SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 903h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 08:53PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.6pp
to 91¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.2pp
to 92¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 93¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 93¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 93¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 90¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 93¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 93¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.8pp
to 91¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 93¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.2pp
to 94¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.2pp
to 87¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 89¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.4pp
to 84¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.2pp
to 90¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.1pp
to 89¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.2pp
to 87¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 91¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.2pp
to 87¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.1pp
to 89¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.1pp
to 92¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.2pp
to 96¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.2pp
to 96¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 96¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.6pp
to 97¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.6pp
to 97¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 97¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.3pp
to 97¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
10- 7¢0.0pp
Will Nicholas Finan advance from the CA-17 primary?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 16¢+0.5pp
Will Ha Phan advance from the CA-17 primary?
Other · Vol $285.77
- 30¢+4.0pp
Will Ritesh Tandon advance from the CA-17 primary?
Other · Vol $179.94
- 66¢-10.0pp
Will Ethan Agarwal advance from the CA-17 primary?
Other · Vol $487.21
- 0¢0.0pp
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $7.8M
- 3¢-0.7pp
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $638.1K
- 5¢-0.3pp
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $419.4K
- 43¢-7.2pp
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $409.9K
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $377.3K
- 0¢+0.2pp
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $372.7K
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 17th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California'sAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (10.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).