SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Sep 25, 2026

Will Sabrina Ionescu win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?

Probability

42¢

+0.0pp

24h

-5.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$522.80

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d

Apr 21, 2026, 23:00Apr 25, 2026, 20:57

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors

1
Down 5pp over 24h
Now 42¢; flat in the last hour.
2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3651h with open resolution ambiguity.
3
Wide spread — 83.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 3651.0h
LOW
20:57Signal
Resolution risk
Expires in 3651h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW

Price movement

-4.0pp over the last 24h, now 43¢.

Biggest hourly move: -12.5pp at 19:00 (to 33¢).

Show all 18 hour-by-hour ticks

20:00 · -6.5pp → 39¢
19:00 · -12.5pp → 33¢
15:00 · -5.0pp → 41¢
14:00 · -7.5pp → 39¢
12:00 · -5.5pp → 42¢
09:00 · -6.0pp → 39¢
08:00 · -6.0pp → 39¢
06:00 · -6.5pp → 39¢
05:00 · -6.0pp → 39¢
03:00 · -4.0pp → 39¢
02:00 · -6.0pp → 39¢
00:00 · -3.5pp → 42¢
22:00 · -3.0pp → 42¢
1d ago · -6.5pp → 39¢
1d ago · -4.5pp → 40¢
1d ago · -3.5pp → 42¢
1d ago · -3.0pp → 42¢
1d ago · -5.5pp → 44¢

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventWNBA: 2026 MVP

Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Sep 25, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Wide spread (83.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.