Will "Scarlet" win Film of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
Probability
11¢
1h
+10.0pp
24h
+8.4pp
24h Vol
$30.00
Liquidity
$996.90
Probability (last 7 days)
+4.7pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 8pp over 24h
Now 11¢; +10.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 655h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 20.9¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 654.7h
- 17:16SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 655h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 17:16PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 7¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 1¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.1pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.4pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.1pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.1pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.2pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.4pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.2pp
to 10¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
The 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards are scheduled to occur in Japan on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Film of the Year Award at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards and the official Crunchyroll website (https://www.crunchyroll.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 23, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · mediumcrunchyroll.com
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (20.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.