Past-Power
0x42f01b7c5c20570db68e0127675b3f5d2af6fc65
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$12.8K
Total PnL
$4.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
9556 shares @ 23.3¢·now 87.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.4K
$6.1K
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
12783 shares @ 13.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$194.98
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
19420 shares @ 3.8¢·now 4.7¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$912.74
$170.06
- NO
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?
842 shares @ 86.1¢·now 89.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$749.38
$24.09
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
962 shares @ 49.1¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$331.79
$-140.45
- YES
Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?
4435 shares @ 5.5¢·now 4.6¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$204.00
$-40.88
- YES
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
9874 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$192.54
$35.04
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.15T by July 31?
269 shares @ 18.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$68.70
$20.21
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
47 shares @ 84.0¢·now 93.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.76
$4.28
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
44 shares @ 89.8¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.26
$2.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?$730.31Jul 29, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?$256.44Jul 29, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$137.16Jul 29, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$12.10Jul 29, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$19.28Jul 29, 05:59 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.73Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.07Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$3.47Jul 28, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.27Jul 28, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$53.41Jul 28, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$187.55Jul 28, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$208.39Jul 28, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$151.16Jul 28, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$2.21Jul 28, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.4KJul 28, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$0.20Jul 28, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$1.36Jul 28, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$0.64Jul 28, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$2.00Jul 28, 06:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $77.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 20:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 10:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.