Velvety-Burn
0x03805a13a0b3e058f55f6c6af95389d4f431073d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$11.3K
Total PnL
$-87.3K
Realised
$0.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
20140 shares @ 0.0¢·now 4.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$946.58
$946.58
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?
30565 shares @ 0.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$794.68
$794.68
- YES
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?
8164 shares @ 0.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$738.83
$738.83
- YES
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
60673 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$394.38
$394.38
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?
37790 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$340.11
$340.11
- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
5618 shares @ 0.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$297.73
$297.73
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
7164 shares @ 0.0¢·now 3.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$265.09
$265.09
- YES
Will Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
11622 shares @ 0.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$215.00
$215.00
- YES
Will Mona Juul be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
32569 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$179.13
$179.13
- YES
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
349863 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$174.93
$174.93
Recent activity
- MERGEWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 67m and 73m?$261.99May 28, 23:45 UTC
- CONVERSION"Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office (Even Higher Strikes)$301.01May 28, 23:44 UTC
- CONVERSION"Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office (Even Higher Strikes)$58.41May 28, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 61m?$33.79May 28, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 67m and 73m?$10.51May 28, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 67m and 73m?$246.36May 28, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 61m?$293.30May 28, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 61m and 67m?$57.86May 28, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?$251.96May 28, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?$11.68May 28, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?$14.16May 28, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?$9.26May 28, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?$14.38May 28, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?$25.41May 28, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?$48.90May 28, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 67m and 73m?$57.19May 28, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 61m and 67m?$298.15May 28, 23:43 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 29?$5.88May 28, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 29?$5.75May 28, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on May 29?$5.82May 28, 23:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $34.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 23:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 23:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".