Simple-Register
0x3fe6c2550d2d7ee62b141d15a78c03380493cdc6
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$416.13
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-11.33
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
5140 shares @ 12.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$203.03
$-413.77
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
1700 shares @ 26.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$102.00
$-340.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
600 shares @ 58.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$99.00
$-249.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
220 shares @ 22.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.10
$-36.30
- YES
Will STRC market cap hit $16B by June 30?
1527 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-241.77
- YES
Will STRC market cap hit $14B by June 30?
967 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-415.87
- YES
Will STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30?
307 shares @ 71.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-220.56
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 30?
150 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-82.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
10 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.84
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.