SportsExpires May 28, 2026

Will Stuttgart finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?

Probability

51¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.0pp

24h Vol

$221.00

Liquidity

$490.53

Probability (last 7 days)

-14.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:55
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 51¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 774h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 20.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 774.1h

    LOW
  • 17:55Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 774h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 58¢.

Biggest hourly move: +11.0pp at 21:00 (to 62¢).

Show all 29 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 17:00 · +7.0pp → 58¢
  • 15:00 · +7.0pp → 58¢
  • 14:00 · +7.0pp → 58¢
  • 12:00 · +6.5pp → 57¢
  • 11:00 · +6.5pp → 57¢
  • 09:00 · +6.5pp → 57¢
  • 08:00 · +6.5pp → 57¢
  • 06:00 · +6.5pp → 57¢
  • 05:00 · +6.0pp → 57¢
  • 03:00 · +6.0pp → 57¢
  • 02:00 · +6.0pp → 57¢
  • 00:00 · +6.0pp → 57¢
  • 23:00 · +6.0pp → 57¢
  • 21:00 · +11.0pp → 62¢
  • 20:00 · +9.5pp → 61¢
  • 18:00 · +6.5pp → 57¢
  • 1d ago · +6.5pp → 57¢
  • 1d ago · +6.5pp → 57¢
  • 1d ago · +6.5pp → 57¢
  • 1d ago · +5.0pp → 56¢
  • 1d ago · +5.0pp → 56¢
  • 1d ago · +5.0pp → 56¢
  • 1d ago · +5.0pp → 56¢
  • 2d ago · +4.0pp → 56¢
  • 2d ago · +4.0pp → 56¢
  • 2d ago · +4.0pp → 56¢
  • 2d ago · -4.0pp → 52¢
  • 2d ago · -4.5pp → 51¢
  • 2d ago · -4.0pp → 51¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventBundesliga - Top 4 Finish
Category · Sports

Market Description

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga standings for the 2025–26 season. If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Bundesliga standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Bundesliga tiebreaking procedures. If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 28, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (20.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket