Timely-Bribery
0x094eee4d5249f84658b02f147c2610268785d40e
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
76
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$-160.26
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
330 shares @ 81.8¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$291.63
$21.97
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
300 shares @ 85.0¢·now 93.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$280.20
$25.20
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
289 shares @ 62.6¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$183.51
$2.51
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
176 shares @ 85.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$164.51
$14.19
- YES
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
173 shares @ 85.3¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$154.54
$7.29
- NO
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
432 shares @ 46.3¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$79.90
$-120.10
- YES
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
285 shares @ 33.4¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.80
$-72.40
- YES
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.89
$-6.11
- YES
Stripe IPO before 2027?
38 shares @ 38.5¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.26
$-13.27
- YES
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
650 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 3, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $45.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 17:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.