Known-Use
0x21ffd2b7a212a6f277ed3eca1a9f8efcbca90d71
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$60.0K
Total PnL
$24.3K
Realised
$33.8K
Win rate
82%
174 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
2578 shares @ 90.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$24.78
- NO
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
2427 shares @ 98.3¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.3K
$-62.83
- NO
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.0K
$-1.00
- NO
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2749 shares @ 75.5¢·now 68.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$-197.63
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3731 shares @ 54.4¢·now 48.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.8K
$-218.33
- NO
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
2745 shares @ 67.2¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$1.7K
$-114.81
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
1517 shares @ 95.3¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$-3.93
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
2775 shares @ 53.6¢·now 51.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$-58.80
- NO
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1268 shares @ 96.2¢·now 93.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$-33.39
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
1266 shares @ 92.9¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$7.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$40.00Jun 15, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$70.00Jun 15, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$22.11Jun 15, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?$56.37Jun 15, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?$13.88Jun 15, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$24.00Jun 15, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$39.50Jun 15, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?$108.82Jun 15, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$261.39Jun 15, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?$14.00Jun 15, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?$1.00Jun 15, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?$1.00Jun 15, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 17?$2.37Jun 15, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $69,000 on June 15?$98.40Jun 15, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2026?$0.00Jun 15, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2026?$0.98Jun 15, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$328.06Jun 15, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$177.99Jun 15, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$70.03Jun 15, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$4.00Jun 15, 20:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $55.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 20:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 20:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 174 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.