OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 16, 2026

Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?

Probability

1¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.1pp

24h Vol

$567.16

Liquidity

$12.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

-2.5pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 19:44
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 1228h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $12.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1228.2h

    LOW
  • 19:45Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 1228h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-0.2pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

8
Same eventBank of Brazil Decision in June?
Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 16, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June Ambiguous wordingextracted · low
bcb.gov.br
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket