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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires

Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the June meeting?

Probability

47¢

1h

-3.5pp

24h

-2.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$13.04

Probability (last 7 days)

-2.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:47
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Down 3pp over 24h

    Now 47¢; -3.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 88.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 21.5pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 17.0pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 28.0pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 24.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 15.5pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 15.5pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 15.5pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 17.5pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 18.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 21.5pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.5pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 17.5pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 33.5pp

    to 67¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 31.5pp

    to 67¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the BaAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (88.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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