Second-Hand-Presume
0x06d898dd11c4c1ffca1f91c2c47f6e379b4c9446
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$8.6K
Total PnL
$8.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
1345 shares @ 0.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.3K
$1.3K
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
1660 shares @ 0.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$1.1K
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
825 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$825.00
$825.00
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
725 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$725.00
$725.00
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
590 shares @ 0.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$545.75
$545.75
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
505 shares @ 0.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$457.02
$457.02
- YES
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?
450 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$450.00
$450.00
- YES
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
405 shares @ 0.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$399.13
$399.13
- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?
365 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$365.00
$365.00
- YES
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
325 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$325.00
$325.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?$10.00May 21, 21:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$20.00May 21, 21:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$80.00May 21, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$250.00May 21, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$570.00May 21, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?$75.00May 18, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-13?$5.00May 17, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 15, 2026?$5.00May 17, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-16?$10.00May 17, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13?$35.00May 17, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?$35.00May 17, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16?$40.00May 17, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$45.00May 17, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill CZ post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$50.00May 17, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.9% and 1.2%?$55.00May 17, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill CZ post 0-19 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$70.00May 16, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?$75.00May 16, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-05-13?$85.00May 16, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$170.00May 16, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$220.00May 16, 06:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $0.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 11:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 21:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.