OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 30, 2026

Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?

Probability

6¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.8pp

24h Vol

$1.7K

Liquidity

$27.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 22:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:00
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 102h with open resolution ambiguity.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 102.0h

    LOW
  • 18:00Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 102h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-2.2pp over the last 24h, now 5¢.

Biggest hourly move: +5.3pp at 2d ago (to 11¢).

Show all 25 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 17:00 · -3.6pp → 6¢
  • 15:00 · -3.9pp → 6¢
  • 14:00 · -4.0pp → 6¢
  • 12:00 · -3.7pp → 6¢
  • 11:00 · -3.6pp → 7¢
  • 09:00 · -4.0pp → 6¢
  • 08:00 · -4.0pp → 6¢
  • 06:00 · -4.0pp → 6¢
  • 05:00 · -4.0pp → 6¢
  • 03:00 · -3.8pp → 6¢
  • 02:00 · -3.1pp → 6¢
  • 1d ago · -3.0pp → 8¢
  • 1d ago · -3.0pp → 8¢
  • 2d ago · -3.6pp → 9¢
  • 2d ago · -4.4pp → 9¢
  • 2d ago · -5.1pp → 9¢
  • 2d ago · -5.0pp → 9¢
  • 2d ago · +3.8pp → 10¢
  • 2d ago · +5.1pp → 11¢
  • 2d ago · +4.9pp → 11¢
  • 2d ago · +5.3pp → 11¢
  • 2d ago · +4.6pp → 10¢
  • 2d ago · +4.3pp → 10¢
  • 2d ago · +4.0pp → 10¢
  • 2d ago · +4.1pp → 10¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventWhen will the DHS shutdown end?
Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on FebruaryOfficial government sourceextracted · high
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket