Imaginary-Access
0xcd424794837313b654f9e05d926162f9b5f9eacf
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$401.51
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$353.56
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
290 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$265.35
$10.15
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
920 shares @ 43.1¢·now 14.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$136.16
$-260.81
- NO
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
3840 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-222.24
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
3000 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-424.89
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
2130 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-326.19
- NO
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?
1321 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-740.60
- NO
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?
1000 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-356.14
- YES
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?
995 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-108.58
- YES
Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in April?
550 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-46.85
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $135.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.