Well-Off-City
0x0b107954316990cbab4cd15252c6c29240bbf7ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$150.85
Total PnL
$0.56
Realised
$-3.32
Win rate
22%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?
112 shares @ 2.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$112.38
$109.46
- YES
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?
27 shares @ 10.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$27.00
$24.30
- YES
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.69
$6.69
- YES
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
3 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.66
$1.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on April 6?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$1.11
$0.31
- OVER
Games Total: O/U 2.5
2910 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.91
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?
693 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.77
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
219 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.96
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 6-12?
180 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.79
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?
161 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.74
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?$0.24Apr 18, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $110 in April?$0.14Apr 18, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?$0.01Apr 18, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$1.62Apr 18, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLJoe Kent charged by April 30?$0.03Apr 18, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?$0.06Apr 18, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?$0.01Apr 18, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?$0.09Apr 18, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?$0.45Apr 18, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by April 30?$0.01Apr 18, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in April?$0.02Apr 18, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?$0.01Apr 18, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?$0.31Apr 18, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $1.80 in April?$0.20Apr 18, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?$0.17Apr 18, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$0.18Apr 18, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?$0.01Apr 18, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?$2.41Apr 18, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$0.01Apr 18, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1600-1679 tweets in April 2026?$0.00Apr 18, 14:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
22% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 22:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 14:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.