Will the median home value in New York City be between $582,000 and $589,000 on April 30?

1. 1

   Down 5pp over 24h

   Now 3¢; flat in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 108h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Thin liquidity

   Only $188 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/26)