Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on June 30, 2026?
Probability
7¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$76.00
Liquidity
$2.6K
Canonical status
confidence: highSource status (Polymarket)
Derived status (Orrery)
Reason
Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryto the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for June 30, 2026TypeAmbiguous wordingConfidenceextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk observation firing
Resolution source is ambiguous or relies on public-figure statements — verify before treating price as the market view.
- 02Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $2.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryto the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for June 30, 2026TypeAmbiguous wordingConfidenceextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- Jun 30, 00:00 UTCScheduled resolutionLOW
Market resolves in 732.4h
- 11:33SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Resolution source is ambiguous or relies on public-figure statements — verify before treating price as the market view.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 7¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
10- 31¢0.0
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $530.54
- 17¢0.0
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.20 and $3.50 on June 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $91.00
- 5¢0.0
Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on June 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $91.00
- 19¢0.0
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on June 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $201.05
- 23¢0.0
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on June 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $220.17
- 8¢0.0
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.50 on June 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $120.00
- 1¢+0.4
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?
Other · Vol $860.0K
- 8¢+1.5
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?
Other · Vol $551.0K
- 0¢-16.5
Will David Brekalo win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
Other · Vol $387.9K
- 1¢-12.7
Will Jakob Glesnes win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
Other · Vol $337.1K
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for June 30, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Why this category?
confidence: lowCategory
Source
Reason
No override, sports marker, rule, or upstream hint matched. Market is unclassified — the keyword rules need an entry for this topic.
Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.
FAQ — questions readers actually ask
What is the current Polymarket probability for "Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on June 30, 2026?"?
As of Sat, 30 May 2026 11:33:52 GMT, YES is priced at 7% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed +0.0pp in the last 24 hours, +0.0pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves by Jun 30, 2026 (2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from the market description on Polymarket.
What source determines the outcome?
Resolution is sourced from the market description on Polymarket. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.
How much is being traded on this market?
$76.00 of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $76.00. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $2.6K. Spread between best bid and best ask: 4.0¢.
Is this a trade recommendation?
No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.
How fresh is this data and where does it come from?
This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email digests are wired to a server-side cron and continue while your tabs are closed. Telegram and Discord are planned — every existing rule will keep working as channels light up.