Better-Smith
0xca52446eaad30e546f344849ae1afd92eb360cdf
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$5.5K
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$-235.21
Win rate
54%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
1170 shares @ 71.2¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$254.99
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
960 shares @ 52.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$907.50
$399.43
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1595 shares @ 43.9¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$797.62
$97.62
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
576 shares @ 83.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$486.71
$5.71
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
758 shares @ 58.2¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$473.91
$32.91
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
535 shares @ 74.7¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$398.68
$-1.13
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
240 shares @ 86.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$210.79
$4.79
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
180 shares @ 70.0¢·now 84.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$151.29
$25.50
- YES
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
169 shares @ 68.3¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$138.45
$23.11
- NO
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
124 shares @ 37.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$121.72
$76.02
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$100.00Jun 13, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$300.00Jun 13, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$364.00Jun 13, 00:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$260.00Jun 12, 23:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$40.00Jun 11, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$20.00Jun 11, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$141.00Jun 11, 23:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO before 2027?$19.39Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO before 2027?$30.61Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$32.19Jun 11, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$32.20Jun 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$5.03Jun 10, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$81.45Jun 10, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$251.52Jun 10, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.09Jun 10, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$120.67Jun 10, 18:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $118.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 20:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.