Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 26?
Probability
66¢
1h
+2.5pp
24h
+21.0pp
24h Vol
$2.7K
Liquidity
$17.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 21pp over 24h
Now 66¢; +2.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 25h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $17.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 25h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 25 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 25.3h
- 14:39SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 25h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.0pp
to 64¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 61¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.0pp
to 66¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.0pp
to 64¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.5pp
to 61¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.5pp
to 58¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.5pp
to 59¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.0pp
to 58¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 33.0pp
to 61¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 54¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.5pp
to 53¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.5pp
to 57¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.5pp
to 55¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.0pp
to 54¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.5pp
to 49¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.5pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.0pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.0pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.5pp
to 45¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.5pp
to 41¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.0pp
to 39¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specifieAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).