Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in April 2026?
Probability
5¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-2.0pp
24h Vol
$47.90
Liquidity
$14.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
-17.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 5¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 107h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $14.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 107.4h
- 12:34SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 107h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 5¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 5¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 5¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 5¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 5¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 5¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 5¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 5¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 5¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 5¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 5¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 5¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 5¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 5¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 6¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 6¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between April 1, and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).