Hilarious-Vice
0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-643.20
Realised
$3.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
20 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.00
$5.60
- NO
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?
20 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$20.00
$6.00
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
20 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.00
$6.20
- NO
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?
20 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$20.00
$6.40
- NO
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of April?
20 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$20.00
$8.00
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 68.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$20.00
$6.24
- NO
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?
20 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$20.00
$5.80
- NO
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
20 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$20.00
$6.00
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
20 shares @ 69.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$20.00
$6.14
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
20 shares @ 70.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$20.00
$5.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Green Bay Packers win the 2026 NFC North?$2.68Apr 26, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Green Bay Packers win the 2026 NFC North?$2.68Apr 26, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$14.00Apr 21, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 10-15%?$5.56Apr 20, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?$10.00Apr 20, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 17?$0.14Apr 20, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on April 17?$1.46Apr 20, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on April 17?$3.03Apr 20, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 18?$7.66Apr 20, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 18?$7.71Apr 20, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?$15.27Apr 20, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$9.98Apr 20, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?$9.99Apr 20, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by <9%?$10.00Apr 20, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 17, 2026?$10.00Apr 20, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?$10.00Apr 20, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 18%+?$10.00Apr 20, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$10.00Apr 20, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%?$10.00Apr 20, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on April 18?$10.41Apr 20, 07:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $7.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 08:43 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 06:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.