Will Trump say "Autopen" during WHCA Dinner events?
Probability
44¢
1h
+1.0pp
24h
+4.0pp
24h Vol
$707.44
Liquidity
$853.59
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 4pp over 24h
Now 44¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $854 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 18:58SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 00:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 19h ago
Price movement
+3.5pp over the last 24h, now 45¢.
Biggest hourly move: +25.0pp at 09:00 (to 58¢).
Show all 23 hour-by-hour ticks
- 18:58 · +11.5pp → 45¢
- 17:00 · +10.5pp → 44¢
- 15:00 · +9.5pp → 43¢
- 14:00 · +12.0pp → 45¢
- 12:00 · +20.5pp → 54¢
- 11:00 · +25.0pp → 58¢
- 09:00 · +25.0pp → 58¢
- 08:00 · +22.5pp → 56¢
- 06:00 · +21.0pp → 54¢
- 05:00 · +21.0pp → 54¢
- 03:00 · +21.0pp → 54¢
- 02:00 · +11.0pp → 44¢
- 00:00 · +9.0pp → 42¢
- 22:00 · +10.0pp → 43¢
- 21:00 · +8.5pp → 42¢
- 20:00 · +6.5pp → 40¢
- 19:00 · +8.0pp → 41¢
- 1d ago · +3.0pp → 34¢
- 1d ago · +5.0pp → 35¢
- 2d ago · +4.5pp → 35¢
- 2d ago · +8.0pp → 32¢
- 2d ago · -10.5pp → 32¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 33¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. (see: https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the WHCA Dinner events scheduled for April 25, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- White HouseOfficial government sourceextracted · highwhca.press
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.