Will Trump say "Mount Trump" or "Mount Trumpmore" in April?
Probability
9¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$10.99
Liquidity
$188.17
Probability (last 7 days)
-13.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 113.6h
- 06:23SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 114h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 9¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 9¢
- 04:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 9¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 9¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 9¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 8¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 8¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 8¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 8¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 8¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 9¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 10¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 10¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 10¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 10¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 10¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 12¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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