Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?
Probability
28¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$131.88
Probability (last 7 days)
-24.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 873h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 29.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 872.7h
- 15:20SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 873h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.0pp
to 28¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.0pp
to 28¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.0pp
to 28¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.0pp
to 28¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.0pp
to 28¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.0pp
to 28¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.0pp
to 28¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.0pp
to 28¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 33¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 33¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.5pp
to 28¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.5pp
to 32¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.5pp
to 32¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.5pp
to 28¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.5pp
to 29¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.5pp
to 29¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.5pp
to 29¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.0pp
to 29¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.0pp
to 27¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.0pp
to 27¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.5pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.0pp
to 30¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.5pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 36¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tyler1 shaves his head by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, “shaving his head" refers to a clearly visible and noticeable change to a fully shaved/buzzed head. Small adjustments, minor trims, buzzing just the sides, or natural minor thinning that doesn't dramatically alter his appearance will not qualify. Taking a little snip, minor trim, or casual buzz on stream (or in a video) also does not count. It must be a real, substantial shave that noticeably changes his appearance from the hair style he's maintained. The resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jun 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (29.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).