Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by June 30?
Probability
4¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-10.1pp
24h Vol
$1.8K
Liquidity
$6.1K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Aug 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
-8.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Down 10pp over 24h
Now 4¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $6.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 9¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Aug 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 2812.8h
Price movement
-10.1pp over the last 24h, now 4¢.
Biggest hourly move: -37.5pp at 3d ago (to 14¢).
Show top 8 of 72 hourly moves
- 3d ago · -29.5pp → 16¢
- 3d ago · -25.0pp → 26¢
- 3d ago · -31.5pp → 20¢
- 3d ago · -25.0pp → 26¢
- 3d ago · -25.5pp → 26¢
- 3d ago · -37.5pp → 14¢
- 4d ago · +26.0pp → 38¢
- 4d ago · +25.5pp → 38¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve adds the map Cobblestone to the official map pool by the listed date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the listed market will resolve to "No". If Cobblestone is added to the Active Duty pool, it must remain there continuously for at least 48 hours for the relevant market to resolve to "Yes". Temporary additions (e.g., for testing) that are reversed within 48 hours will not count. If Cobblestone is added after the deadline, the relevant market will resolve to "No", even if the addition was announced earlier. For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series. For the purpose of this market, the "official map pool" refers to the Active Duty map group in Counter-Strike 2 (CS2), which consists of the maps eligible for both competitive matchmaking and professional tournaments. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alerts
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