Will William Lillich be the Democratic Nominee for PA-10?

1. 1

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 563h with open resolution ambiguity.

2. 2

   Thin liquidity

   Only $6.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.