0x46c2cd1ab9e9afb87a44cdb2b2c09a05faa16d3d
0x46c2cd1ab9e9afb87a44cdb2b2c09a05faa16d3d
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$994.26
Total PnL
$13.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?
150 shares @ 82.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$150.06
$25.83
- NO
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?
149 shares @ 84.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$137.07
$11.92
- NO
Will Parma be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?
91 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$91.45
$16.46
- NO
Will Genoa be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?
91 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$90.90
$16.36
- NO
Will Alavés be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?
59 shares @ 84.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$59.17
$9.17
- NO
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?
42 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$41.90
$1.34
- NO
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?
42 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$41.86
$1.30
- NO
Rojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case?
41 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$41.45
$0.89
- NO
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?
41 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$41.44
$0.86
- NO
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
32 shares @ 80.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$31.42
$5.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Parma be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?$1.86Apr 7, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Parma be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?$72.22Apr 7, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Metz be relegated from Ligue 1 after the 2025–26 season?$5.67Mar 20, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Augsburg be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?$2.10Mar 15, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Augsburg be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?$0.55Mar 14, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mgladbach finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?$10.70Mar 14, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mgladbach finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?$12.67Mar 14, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Werder Bremen finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?$19.72Mar 13, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump endorse Ken Paxton for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?$3.22Mar 2, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump endorse Susan Collins for ME-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?$2.49Mar 1, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump endorse Andy Barr for KY-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?$2.72Mar 1, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alavés be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?$48.04Feb 28, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alavés be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?$1.96Feb 25, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?$49.32Feb 24, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?$18.22Feb 24, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?$4.56Feb 24, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Parma be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?$0.91Feb 24, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Genoa be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?$0.74Feb 24, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FvD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$3.95Feb 23, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SGP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$4.99Feb 23, 04:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $10.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 11:55 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 13:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.