Abandoned-Cloakroom
0x0f5801f1fe7dbadb5c1e92a310c9871447d90ff0
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-13.6K
Realised
$-1.3K
Win rate
70%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300?
1111 shares @ 70.2¢·now 87.6¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$972.98
$193.79
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
653 shares @ 47.2¢·now 92.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$603.41
$295.01
- YES
Will Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 24.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.98
$-1.30
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 1.2¢·now 3.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.38
$0.25
- YES
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
6 shares @ 3.3¢·now 5.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.33
$0.12
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
1 shares @ 15.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.22
$0.07
- YES
Will Alex Pereira be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?
21 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.22
$0.01
- YES
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
70 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.18
$0.04
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
263502 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.5K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300?$41.87Jul 29, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300?$158.44Jul 29, 11:40 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.63Jul 28, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$78.16Jul 27, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.12Jul 27, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$230.11Jul 27, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?$17.93Jul 27, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$629.99Jul 27, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$35.00Jul 27, 04:33 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$35.00Jul 27, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300?$189.38Jul 27, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300?$314.21Jul 27, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300?$86.12Jul 27, 01:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$10.45Jul 26, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$198.66Jul 26, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$2.33Jul 26, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.50Jul 26, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$13.53Jul 26, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$471.51Jul 26, 23:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
70% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $104.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 23:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 11:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.