Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?
Probability
5¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-4.5pp
24h Vol
$48.9K
Liquidity
$146.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
-23.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Down 5pp over 24h
Now 5¢; flat in the last hour.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 102.1h
Price movement
-4.5pp over the last 24h, now 5¢.
Biggest hourly move: -27.5pp at 2d ago (to 6¢).
Show all 33 hour-by-hour ticks
- 17:00 · -5.0pp → 5¢
- 15:00 · -5.5pp → 5¢
- 14:00 · -5.0pp → 6¢
- 12:00 · -6.0pp → 6¢
- 11:00 · -6.0pp → 6¢
- 09:00 · -6.0pp → 6¢
- 08:00 · -6.0pp → 6¢
- 06:00 · -5.0pp → 6¢
- 05:00 · -5.0pp → 6¢
- 03:00 · -10.0pp → 6¢
- 02:00 · -9.5pp → 6¢
- 00:00 · -9.0pp → 8¢
- 23:00 · -9.0pp → 8¢
- 21:00 · -8.0pp → 9¢
- 20:00 · -9.0pp → 9¢
- 18:00 · -10.5pp → 9¢
- 1d ago · -10.0pp → 8¢
- 1d ago · -9.5pp → 8¢
- 1d ago · -10.0pp → 9¢
- 1d ago · -9.0pp → 9¢
- 1d ago · -12.5pp → 6¢
- 1d ago · -22.0pp → 6¢
- 1d ago · -14.5pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -14.5pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -25.5pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -27.5pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -24.0pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · -20.0pp → 8¢
- 2d ago · -20.0pp → 8¢
- 2d ago · -17.0pp → 8¢
- 2d ago · -23.0pp → 8¢
- 2d ago · -24.5pp → 8¢
- 2d ago · -18.5pp → 9¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the final trading day during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- adjusted prices as displayed on PythAmbiguous wordingpythdata.app
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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