Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in April?
Probability
12¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-2.0pp
24h Vol
$47.27
Liquidity
$5.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
-15.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 12¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 127.4h
Price movement
-2.0pp over the last 24h, now 12¢.
Biggest hourly move: -14.5pp at 09:00 (to 11¢).
Show all 24 hour-by-hour ticks
- 20:00 · -6.5pp → 12¢
- 19:00 · -6.5pp → 12¢
- 17:00 · -6.5pp → 12¢
- 15:00 · -6.5pp → 12¢
- 09:00 · -14.5pp → 11¢
- 08:00 · -5.0pp → 13¢
- 06:00 · -5.0pp → 13¢
- 05:00 · -5.0pp → 13¢
- 03:00 · -9.5pp → 14¢
- 02:00 · -9.0pp → 14¢
- 01:00 · -8.0pp → 14¢
- 1d ago · +3.0pp → 14¢
- 1d ago · +4.0pp → 14¢
- 1d ago · +4.0pp → 21¢
- 2d ago · -3.0pp → 24¢
- 2d ago · -7.0pp → 24¢
- 2d ago · -5.0pp → 19¢
- 2d ago · +5.5pp → 18¢
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 17¢
- 2d ago · +8.5pp → 20¢
- 2d ago · +10.0pp → 25¢
- 2d ago · +6.0pp → 25¢
- 2d ago · +13.5pp → 25¢
- 2d ago · -4.5pp → 22¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for Silver (XAGUSD) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session as listed on Pyth will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Silver (XAGUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Silver (XAGUSD) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAG%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Silver Futures (SI)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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