Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in April?
Probability
26¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
+10.5pp
24h Vol
$11.17
Liquidity
$1.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
-27.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 11pp over 24h
Now 26¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 131h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 37.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 130.8h
- 17:12SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 131h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 26¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 8¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 8¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 8¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 8¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 8¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 8¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 8¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 8¢
- 04:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 8¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 13¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 13¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 14¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 14¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 8¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.5pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.5pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.5pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 28¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for Silver (XAGUSD) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session as listed on Pyth will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Silver (XAGUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Silver (XAGUSD) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAG%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Silver Futures (SI)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- adjusted prices as displayed on PythAmbiguous wordingpythdata.app
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (37.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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