Will Zalgiris Kaunas win the 2025-26 Euroleague?
Probability
16¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.1pp
24h Vol
$5.00
Liquidity
$21.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 16¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 866h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 23.2¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 866.5h
- 21:30SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 866h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+1.2pp over the last 24h, now 16¢.
Biggest hourly move: +25.1pp at 1d ago (to 40¢).
Show top 8 of 16 hourly moves
- 1d ago · +25.1pp → 40¢
- 2d ago · +13.4pp → 27¢
- 2d ago · +14.0pp → 28¢
- 2d ago · +11.8pp → 25¢
- 2d ago · +12.6pp → 26¢
- 2d ago · +12.6pp → 26¢
- 2d ago · +13.4pp → 27¢
- 2d ago · +12.1pp → 26¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club wins the 2025-2026 Euroleague season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the 2025-2026 Euroleague per the rules of the Euroleague (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Euroleague (https://www.euroleaguebasketball.net/euroleague/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (23.2¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.