Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?
Probability
64¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
+0.9pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$2.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
-8.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5989.8h
- 10:13SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5990h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.9pp
to 64¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.9pp
to 64¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.6pp
to 63¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 63¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.1pp
to 63¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 63¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.9pp
to 65¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.8pp
to 64¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.6pp
to 63¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.6pp
to 64¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.1pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.2pp
to 64¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.1pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.7pp
to 64¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.1pp
to 64¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 66¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.2pp
to 66¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.9pp
to 64¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.2pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.6pp
to 64¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.1pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.2pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.8pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.9pp
to 64¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.2pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.9pp
to 65¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
6- 2¢-1.3pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.2M
- 100¢+38.0pp
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $885.0K
- 100¢+23.9pp
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner
Other · Vol $719.3K
- 59¢-1.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $699.5K
- 100¢+35.9pp
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner
Other · Vol $599.1K
- 100¢+23.9pp
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $481.9K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zendaya and Tom Holland's marriage takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only announcements made within this market's timeframe will qualify. No announcements made after December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET will be considered, even if the marriage itself is announced to have taken place within the market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Zendaya and Tom Holland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (16.6¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).