Will Zoë Kravitz be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?
Probability
39¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-3.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$421.76
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 4pp over 24h
Now 39¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 10326h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 71.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 10326.1h
- 17:51SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 10326h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-3.5pp over the last 24h, now 39¢.
Biggest hourly move: -4.0pp at 17:00 (to 39¢).
Show all 11 hour-by-hour ticks
- 17:00 · -4.0pp → 39¢
- 15:00 · -3.5pp → 39¢
- 00:00 · -3.0pp → 42¢
- 23:00 · -3.0pp → 42¢
- 21:00 · -3.0pp → 42¢
- 20:00 · -3.0pp → 42¢
- 19:00 · -3.0pp → 42¢
- 1d ago · -3.0pp → 42¢
- 2d ago · -3.5pp → 41¢
- 2d ago · -3.5pp → 41¢
- 2d ago · -3.5pp → 41¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is announced to be a bridesmaid at Taylor Swift's wedding to Travis Kelce. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Taylor Swift's engagement to Travis Kelce is called off, cancelled, or otherwise broken according to official statements from either party or their legal or social media representatives or a consensus of credible reporting, this market will resolve to "No". If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to announcements or statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the listed individual, or their legal or social media representatives. If no qualifying announcements or statements are made, this market will resolve according to video or photos of the wedding or a consensus of credible reporting. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying announcement. Any later revisions or revocations of bridesmaid status will not be considered.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (71.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.