Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on April 25?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$2.5K
Liquidity
$20.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $20.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 3
Expiry in 1h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 1 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 16:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 1.1h
- 14:55SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -47.3pp
to 3¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -48.0pp
to 2¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -48.0pp
to 2¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -48.0pp
to 2¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -48.0pp
to 2¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).