Will David Valadao advance from the CA-22 Primary?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 99¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.9pp shift. Resolution depends on to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for california — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California — https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.