Twin-Collateral
0x00c049827eb3206e63fbff1c442132c454324610
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$6.4K
Total PnL
$-517.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
4900 shares @ 39.8¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.8K
$1.9K
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
3930 shares @ 50.8¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.6K
$577.40
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
9975 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-997.50
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
6411 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?$2.0KMay 22, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$7.17May 6, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$2.0KMay 6, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$0.00Apr 12, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$10.00Apr 12, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$0.00Apr 12, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$10.00Apr 12, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$0.00Apr 12, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$0.00Apr 12, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$5.00Apr 11, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$0.00Apr 10, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$26.23Apr 10, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$25.50Apr 10, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$0.00Apr 8, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$0.00Apr 8, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$0.00Apr 8, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$10.00Apr 8, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$5.00Apr 8, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$40.50Apr 8, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$0.00Apr 8, 15:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $191.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 16:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 12:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".