Naive-Mountain
0x00c283c85c71f658af662912705a33299ae51be5
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$248.81
Total PnL
$132.18
Realised
$109.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMUS forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?$0.00Jun 17, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$0.00Jun 17, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMUS Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 4.5$43.00Jun 17, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$0.00Jun 17, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?$258.00Jun 17, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$0.00Jun 17, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMGimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5$476.00Jun 17, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$358.00Jun 17, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMUS Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 3.5$693.00Jun 17, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Melania say "Be Best" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?$0.00Jun 17, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Ceará SC (-2.5)$634.50Jun 17, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chesterfield FC win on 2026-03-28?$1.5KJun 17, 12:38 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.63Jun 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$1.14Jun 15, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$148.58Jun 15, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$243.78Jun 15, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?$231.42Apr 27, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?$225.18Apr 24, 04:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $201.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 23:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 12:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.