Wan-Cameo-Asymmetry
0x00cdea4d807710807cdbc54ad34cfafcd992c0ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$540.27
Total PnL
$-29.62
Realised
$10.86
Win rate
83%
63 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?
10 shares @ 73.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$7.00
$-0.30
- NO
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
10 shares @ 62.5¢·now 62.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.20
$-0.05
- NO
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
7 shares @ 78.3¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.96
$0.09
- YES
Will the Bills win the season series against the Dolphins during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
8 shares @ 67.6¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$5.52
$-0.01
- NO
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?
6 shares @ 79.5¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.74
$-0.03
- NO
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.55
$0.05
- NO
Will Wu Pin-jui win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election?
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$4.53
$0.03
- NO
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$4.53
$0.03
- NO
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2027$4.50
$0.00
- NO
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.50
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$3.30Aug 18, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?$3.24Aug 18, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?$0.51Aug 18, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?$1.10Aug 18, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$2.05Aug 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.38Aug 18, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?$3.46Aug 18, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYPuffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?$3.90Aug 18, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLTabi FDV above $100M one day after launch?$4.55Aug 18, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$1.30Aug 18, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?$1.00Aug 18, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYReserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?$2.90Aug 18, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.40Aug 18, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$1.05Aug 18, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?$4.35Aug 18, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?$1.85Aug 18, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?$2.80Aug 18, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?$2.15Aug 18, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?$4.50Aug 18, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?$1.80Aug 18, 06:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
79/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 63 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
63 closed markets, 83% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 03:18 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 09:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 63 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.