Wan-Cameo-Asymmetry
0x00cdea4d807710807cdbc54ad34cfafcd992c0ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$764.64
Total PnL
$-13.71
Realised
$11.32
Win rate
100%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?
16 shares @ 78.2¢·now 76.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$12.46
$-0.22
- NO
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?
15 shares @ 76.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.85
$0.45
- NO
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
14 shares @ 83.8¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.57
$0.16
- NO
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 78.5¢·now 81.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$11.25
$0.42
- NO
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
15 shares @ 73.3¢·now 69.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$10.42
$-0.58
- NO
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.90
$0.00
- NO
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
15 shares @ 75.3¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.82
$-1.47
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?
15 shares @ 68.7¢·now 65.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$9.75
$-0.55
- NO
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
14 shares @ 62.6¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.50
$0.69
- YES
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?
15 shares @ 52.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.22
$1.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lighter reach $4 before 2027?$3.75Jul 1, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?$2.55Jul 1, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 1, 2026?$4.75Jul 1, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$3.10Jul 1, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?$4.20Jul 1, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?$4.50Jul 1, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$2.16Jul 1, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 31?$2.05Jul 1, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?$3.80Jul 1, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.75Jul 1, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$1.55Jul 1, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?$4.15Jul 1, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill STRC hit $100 by September 30?$1.65Jul 1, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?$1.13Jul 1, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$0.43Jul 1, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$3.01Jul 1, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?$4.58Jul 1, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill three people dissent the July Fed decision?$4.55Jul 1, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.30Jul 1, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?$2.65Jul 1, 12:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 09:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 17:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.