Prize-Insurrection
0x00e4e235bdfa6d3af1491b8981754c9b79777413
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-2.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- NO
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
773 shares @ 80.2¢·now 94.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$726.84
$106.84
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
601 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$601.01
$6.01
- YES
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
362 shares @ 66.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$338.45
$98.03
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
321 shares @ 78.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$317.79
$67.79
- NO
Trump out as President by March 31?
216 shares @ 92.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$216.22
$16.22
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
120 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$109.04
$9.04
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?
102 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$102.34
$2.34
- YES
Epstein client list released by June 30?
484 shares @ 51.7¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.67
$-240.33
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by more than 25%?
1250 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
909 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$247.35Jun 12, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$252.20May 22, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$120.00Apr 7, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$100.00Apr 7, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$100.00Apr 7, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$29.42Jan 12, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$38.21Jan 12, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$16.11Jan 12, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$9.68Jan 12, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$200.00Jan 12, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$30.00Jan 12, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$50.00Jan 12, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$58.21Jan 12, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$8.79Jan 12, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?$100.42Jan 3, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2025?$49.99Jan 2, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?$50.00Jan 2, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$99.79Jan 2, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) hit $355 before 2026??$30.00Jan 1, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out in 2025?$49.23Jan 1, 16:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $77.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 16:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 16:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.