Reflecting-Numeracy
0x015609e862e44d648300a2f40f16029d51533644
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-109.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?
812 shares @ 84.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$804.27
$119.49
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
71 shares @ 86.5¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$63.30
$2.13
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
62 shares @ 92.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$57.41
$-0.06
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
58 shares @ 93.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$56.29
$1.87
- NO
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
40 shares @ 75.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.91
$4.97
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
50 shares @ 28.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$20.75
$6.75
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.12
$3.12
- NO
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
12 shares @ 84.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.65
$1.65
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
12 shares @ 85.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.62
$1.62
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
13 shares @ 79.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.08
$1.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$3.40Jun 5, 16:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1.05Jun 5, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $120 in May?$1.14Jun 2, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.23Jun 2, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$7.50May 22, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba military clash in 2026?$5.00May 22, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba military clash in 2026?$5.00May 22, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$16.04May 22, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.47May 22, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $120 in May?$1.11May 15, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?$1.11May 15, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$21.65May 1, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?$10.42May 1, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$11.24May 1, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Japan military clash before 2027?$41.17Apr 14, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.33Apr 14, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.11Apr 14, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.65Apr 14, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$29.07Apr 14, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$22.05Apr 14, 01:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $11.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 23:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 16:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.